Those Who Want to Go: A More Expansive Great Repatriation

Repatriation is the Most Reasonable Way to Solve the Demographic Crisis

In the first three pieces of our landmark Great Repatriation series, we outlined the most practical policy-based methods to repatriate recent immigrants and their descendants, and increase the Historic American share of the US Population. Specifically, we found that roughly 51 million people, immigrants, and their (underage) US-born children could be repatriated to their ethnic homelands. This process would increase the White American share of the population from roughly 54% today to approximately 70% after implementing the aforementioned policy changes. This change would result in a demographic mix that could have been expected had the 1965 immigration act never been implemented, data backed up by the Pew research center.

In the fourth and final installment of the original four papers, we gave outlined a series of data points on those immigrants and descendants of immigrants that could not be deported via the executive actions that we suggested in the first three pieces of the series. Meaning, these people(s) are those over the age of 18, born in the United States, and those with a multigenerational connection to the country. We sought to start a conversation around the possibility of voluntary repatriation of these citizens, a conversation we are continuing in this piece.

This demographic of ‘remaining’ non-Westerners, numbering about 88 million people, is dominated by the roughly 37 million African Americans as well as a handful of Asians and Hispanics who arrived in the 18th and 19th centuries. Some were absorbed as the United States expanded under manifest destiny, and others arrived before immigration laws could be tightened to prevent their admission into the country. Regardless of their origin, voluntary repatriation, or repatriation of those willing to leave the country, will be necessary in order to restore America’s historic demographic mix.

A quick note as regards racial and ethnic terminology for this series: We realize that some terms are contentious, however for the sake of simplicity and directness, we will be sticking with the Census Bureau terminology for these pieces.

Asians:

In our original piece on the Great Repatriation and Asians, we outlined how roughly 10.7 million Asians, or 47.7% of the current Asian population of the US could be repatriated through the cancellation of visas for the 4.7 million naturalized Asians and the subsequent departure of that group and their underage children. And of course the deportation of America’s roughly 2 million illegal immigrant Asians.

We also touched on the lack of integration into American life which Asians in the United States experience. For example, some 51% of Asians in the United States claim that they are primarily friends with people of their own race, including among young people in high school where 62% of Asian youths report friendships only with other Asians. 20% of Asians report that they have hidden aspects of their racial or ethnic identity to attempt and fit in, and perhaps most illuminating of all only 45% of Asian adults in the United States report that they in any way consider themselves to be Americans.

Since this original publication, we have been able to collect yet more data. The 2023 “Social Tracking of Asian Americans in the U.S.”, a report published by The Asian American Foundation, found that 78% of Asian Americans do not feel like they belong in the United States. Among Asians aged 16-24, the overwhelming majority of whom are American-born, 83% feel like they do not belong in the US. Among the top reasons cited for this feeling is that Asians do not “see others like them” in power in the United States.

Research by PEW, released in late 2023, also shows that a large share of Asians in the US, some 26%, would consider moving to their ancestral homelands. This includes 14% of US-born Asians who would move back to their ancestral homelands, representing about 1.4 million people. Further, 30% of foreign-born Asians would move back to their ancestral homelands if given the opportunity. If we apply this figure to the 8.32 million naturalized Asians it indicates that as many as 2.5 million additional Asians would be willing to return to their homeland.

The departure of an additional 3.9 million Asians would bring the total number of Asian repatriations to roughly 14.6 million people, or about 65.2% of the Asian population of the United States as it currently stands.

A nationalist American administration could facilitate this departure by making information and resources available to those who wish to depart and work with countries like Japan and Korea, as both countries have visa programs for any ethnic Korean or Japanese to return to the country regardless of their place of birth.

It is highly likely that this process of policy-based and assisted repatriation, combined with the repatriation of non-citizens outlined in the original piece on Asians, would cause hundreds of thousands of not millions more Asians to depart, driving the total number of Asian repatriations well beyond our 14.6 million projection. Regardless, the United States has policy options in this area and millions of people would return to their homelands if given the chance.

Black and African Americans:

In our first piece on The Great Repatriation and Blacks, we outlined the process by which 9.8 million Blacks, mostly immigrants and their children, could be repatriated from the United States. This process would leave roughly 37.1 million Blacks in the United States, the vast bulk of whom would be African Americans (the ancestors of the slaves brought to the North American continent).

Still, African Americans do not feel at home in the United States, and in our previous piece, we outlined several of the ways in which African Americans lack significant emotional attachment to the United States. 48% of African Americans are not invested in their local communities while 71% of African Americans believe that they will never have equal rights in the United States.

Since publishing our original piece on Blacks we have found yet more evidence that, if given the choice and resources to do so, African Americans would depart the United States in large numbers, mostly for Sub-Saharan Africa and the Caribbean. Some 76% of Black respondents to a 2023 survey said that they did not feel like they belonged in the United States on account of their race. A remarkable finding considering their presence since before the founding of the nation.

A 2024 poll conducted by Monmouth University found that 45% of people of color in the United States would move broad and settle in a foreign country if they were “free to do so.”

This information can be further reinforced by the large movement of African Americans that already exists outside of the United States and which encourages other Blacks to depart. More than 45,000 African Americans have made ‘return’ trips to Ghana and over 10,000 are believed to have permanently settled in the nation. Additionally, a tourism and relocation company operated by the African American diaspora in Ghana has said that roughly 30% of African American visitors to Ghana have relocated to Ghana permanently as a result of their trip.

This lack of belonging and lack of care for the American communities in which Blacks live may explain why Pro-Black organizations such as the SPLC and NAACP have called, at varying times, for political autonomy for African Americans and individual Blacks have taken it upon themselves to establish movements that encourage their coethnics to depart the US.

By providing the resources, finance, and logistical support African Americans, and the recipient states would need, a nationalist administration could enable a fourth “Great Migration” of African Americans, except this time it would be out of the United States and to the majority Black nations which are eager to welcome the diaspora home.

If 45% of African Americans took up this offer a further 16.7 million Blacks would depart the United States, bringing the total number of repatriations to 26.5 million, or 56.5% of the current Black population of the United States.

Hispanics:

In the first part of our original series, we covered the Great Repatriation and Hispanics, outlining how roughly 31 million Hispanics, mostly immigrants (legal and illegal) and their children, could be repatriated to their homelands in Latin America. This figure represents about 47.5% of the Hispanic population of the United States as it currently stands, and would comprise the largest immigrant group to be repatriated under our suggested program of policies.

We also found that 10.8 million Hispanics in the United States feel “very different” from typical (read: White) Americans, and that only 14% of Hispanics in the United States even identify as American. The children of Hispanic immigrants, second and third-generation immigrants born in the United States, also don’t identify as American to any great degree. 69% of third-generation Hispanics do not identify themselves as American, according to a 2020 Pew study.

In a later article titled "The Great Repatriation and Native-Born Hispanics,” we delved further into the behavior of naturalized and native-born Hispanics in the United States. Some 40% of Hispanics make regular and return visits to their ancestral homelands, including second and third-generation Hispanics born in the US. This makes perfect sense, as 47% of US-born Hispanics identify primarily with their ancestral homelands and not the United States.

We estimated that, given these numbers, and given the number of Hispanics who do not feel like they are able to get ahead in the United States (or are even falling behind), some 12.5 million US-born Hispanics would be willing to voluntarily return to their ancestral homelands if given the resources and support to do so.

Now, with more data, such as the fact that 75% of Hispanics do not feel like they belong in the United States on account of their race, and the fact that the Monmouth University study showed 45% of people of color would depart the United States if given the opportunity we can revise this number upward.

It is reasonable, given the data, that about 14 million second and third-generation Hispanics (those born in the US since the 1960s) would depart the United States if given a choice. This figure brings the total of potential Hispanic repatriates up to 45 million individuals or 72.5% of the current Hispanic population of the United States.

Repatriation Totals:

With the writing of this piece, we have outlined how the United States could reasonably repatriate 86.1 million minority individuals from the country peaceably and humanely. Roughly 51 million of these repatriates would be non-naturalized immigrants, illegals, the children of these immigrants, and some denaturalized immigrants. The remaining 35 million would be composed of voluntary repatriates who took up an incentive structure and resource offered to return to their ancestral homelands.

These 86.1 million people represent 61% of the current non-Western population of the United States.

After the departure of these 86.1 million people the White population of the United States, numbering roughly 195 million people, would increase from its current 54% share of the population to 80% of the American populace, an increase of 26 points that would undo the previous 45 years of demographic change which has been imposed on the American people.

Funding the Great Repatriation:

The 35 million (or more) voluntary repatriates would require logistical, financial, and practical assistance in enabling them to leave the country, and this is assistance that a nationalist administration should be prepared to offer, primarily because it will fiscally benefit Americans in both the immediate and long term.

Hispanics impart a net negative fiscal impact of $746,460 to the American taxpayer over the course of their lifetime in the United States. Blacks have a net fiscal impact of $1.3 million over the course of their lifetime.

In our previous piece on native-born Hispanics, we suggested that repatriates be offered a check worth 10% of the fiscal impact they would impart on the American people by remaining in the United States. This means that Hispanics would receive a “repatriation payment” of $74,656 while Blacks would be eligible for a $130,000 payment to relocate.

Repatriating 14 million Hispanics would cost roughly $1.045 trillion while repatriating the 26.5 million African Americans would come in at a cost of $3.445 trillion. Combined the program comes in at roughly $4.5 trillion, but this must be put in a broader context.

If we spread the repatriation program out across 12 years it would cost only $375 billion per annum.

Blacks and Hispanics alone comprise 49% of all Medicaid recipients, costing the American taxpayer $403.76 billion dollars. Almost 30 billion more than the yearly cost of our proposed repatriation program’s budget on an annual basis.

Another example is the SNAP (food stamp) program. 62.2% of all SNAP benefits, or 74 billion dollars, were spent on minorities in 2022.

Repatriation would bring about significant cost savings for Americanss, make the United States much safer, and reverse almost 45 years of demographic change.

Conclusion:

America will never be the same nation it was before the 1965 Immigration Act and the subsequent 60 years of mass immigration. The scar of the Great Replacement will forever mark the country and there is likely to be a permanent segment of the population which is minority descended and larger in share than the historic average (which was about 12%).

But, through a detailed understanding of the current social environment, the policy options available, and the cost and savings involved in the process, Americans can begin to engage in a real conversation about what a viable repatriation and immigration system would look like.

The Great Replacement can reverse and being informed is the first step in making it happen.

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